Slight change in plans. I was planning to buy back all the Fortum shares I sold recently. I was hoping to do that around 10,80 EUR per share during the next six to nine months or so. Instead I decided to change my allocation a little bit. I still have a bit mixed feelings about Fortum. On the other hand there’s the political risk which in my opinion is the worst kind of risk for any stock. Then there’s Nordea which has been hit lately because of the so called Panama papers leak. All this led to a new game plan. I decided to buy back 250 shares of Fortum for 11,60 EUR per share and 100 shares of Nordea Bank for 8,29 EUR per share. My original Fortum position was 320 shares and I’ll consider increasing my position to that or even beyond that if the renewables strategy plays out as expected. In general I wouldn’t even consider that if I wouldn’t have strong faith in the current management they have.
Recent Sell: Fortum Corporation
Today I sold 320 shares of Fortum for 11,31 EUR per share. There a couple of reasons for this. First of all Fortum won’t be producing any cash flow until Q2/2017. Secondly I anticipate that there will be a possibility to buy back the shares for less money during Q2 or Q3. This also allows me to record some losses for tax purposes and while waiting for the buyback order to go through, this will reduce the interest costs for investment debt I have for the portfolio.
Q1/2016 Results
Recent Buy: VEREIT, Inc
Since Coca-Cola is way too expensive for me at the moment, I was considering Diageo and VEREIT for my next purchase. VEREIT entered my portfolio as a purely speculative risk play after the infamous ARCP disaster hit. Now I decided the remove that status and purchased additional 120 shares for 8,61 USD per share.
This also means that there are no “risk positions” in this publicly tracked portfolio. In my strategy I’ve ruled that one of such positions is allowed with limited weighting. In future I might handle similar positions within a different portfolio but that remains to be seen.
Recent Buy: General Electric Company
Portfolio balancing for NYSE:GE with a purchase of additional 40 shares for 30,29 USD per share. I’m not a huge fan of averaging up but I suppose that would count as a first world problem. I’m actually quite bullish on GE so I don’t really have huge problems with the current valuation. Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO) would require similar actions but it has a bit more challenging valuation in my books. I’m also keeping an eye on the Diageo (NYSE:DEO) for my next purchase.
Recent Buy: Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc
Market has been turbulent lately but I couldn’t resist the valuation NYSE:OHI is getting at the moment. On February 9th I bought additional 40 shares for 28,54 USD per share. Pretty much everything has been hammered down hard lately. Perhaps some for a good reason, but to me this valuation seems ridiculously cheap. This is now a full position and then some so it’s not very likely that I’d be adding on this unless it goes through the floor without any real reason.
Recent Sell & Buy: BHP Billiton PLC
Just another averaging down operation on NYSE:BBL. On February 4th I sold 130 shares for 21,01 USD per share and on February 8th bought back 140 shares for 20,42 USD per share.
Recent Buy: Nordea Bank AB
Slightly unplanned action since “official” January purchase was already made and Nordea wasn’t really on my short term watch list. It has been hammered so down lately that I didn’t see any problems in adding to my position. Today I bought additional 110 shares for 9,07 EUR per share. Typically we would see a dividend rally during Q1 but in the current market environment it’s difficult to know what happens next. Technically I don’t even care.
Recent Buy: Telenor
Balancing of the portfolio with a purchase of additional 60 shares of Telenor for 137,50 NOK per share. This action was executed on January 14th and was the first buy of the year. NYSE:GE would require similar addition during February but the market turbulence is starting to look so promising that a better valuation might lay ahead. Meanwhile few other existing positions are starting to look really tempting, especially NYSE:OHI is really difficult to pass on.
Q4/2015 & FY2015 Report
Another quarter and fiscal year has passed with following statistics:
- 411 USD received as dividends during Q4 (244 USD during Q4/2014)
- 420 NOK received as dividends during Q4 (0 NOK during Q4/2014)
- 8 purchases made during Q4 (10 during Q4/2014)
- Total dividends for FY2015 were 458,32 EUR, 1455 NOK and 1360,81 USD (123 EUR and 584,32 USD during FY2014)
There are no major changes for strategy in FY2016. Environment is getting a bit challenging as we are, in my opinion, moving towards the end of an cycle. I expect to add steadily on cyclical companies and also those which are a bit underweight positions at the moment. Valuations might slow down the balancing of the portfolio even though I’m not fully trying to time the market. Having said that, I still have loose buy zones I try to enforce.
