I originally initiated position in Castellum as a short term dividend turn around play with currency speculation twist. Both aspects lead to a failure as no turn around has yet been seen in dividend and – while I still think it is likely outcome – it will likely take still quite some time to materialise. Currency play failed as well since SEK has been deteriorating since this purchase. Today I decided to exit this position with a minor loss and bough additional 100 shares of Nordea Bank. I sold Castellum shares for 137,60 SEK per share and bought Nordea shares for 10,70 EUR per share. This move simplifies portfolio a bit and increases projected dividends without injecting new capital or re-investing received dividends. As a whole I expect Nordea to perform quite well for next couple of years.
Recent Buy: Nordea Bank
Dividend re-investment time once again and this time I’m even investing back to the same company. Nordea paid and I bought additional 100 shares for 10,74 EUR per share. Reasoning is quite simple: despite times being tough, Nordea seems to be very solid company with very reasonable valuation. Sure, interest rates are likely going down from here and it will have negative impact on Nordea. Yet they are buying back shares and have executed very well in zero interest rate environment in the past. Even after considering these headwinds current valuation seems to be on the low side (as it has traditionally been for European banking sector in general, often for a good reason).
Recent Buy: Kesko Oyj (B series)
Dividend re-investment time with additional 20 shares of Kesko Oyj (B series) bought for 16,74 EUR per share. Nothing special here as Kesko is in my list of additions for this year. I would like to see per share price closer or even below 16 EUR but these levels are fine as well. Challenging times for Kesko and for our local economy. Furthermore, competition has taken market share from Kesko in certain segments but for long term I consider current valuation to be fair.
Q1/2024 Results
First quarter is over and not much has changed in grand scheme of things. Same geopolitical tensions are still in play, US market has been extremely resilient and our Finnish economy has been even less resilient than I initially feared. Major global tensions with Russia and China are not likely to be resolved anytime soon. Hopefully same time frame does not apply to our local tensions with union strikes which are pretty much putting last nails – at least on short term – on the coffin for Finnish economy. First quarter results were in line with my expectations. Dividend income was 1504,89 EUR before taxes which consisted mainly of USD dividends (1573,31 USD) with minor EUR additions (49,60 EUR). This was to be expected as dividend income for second quarter is significantly higher than for any of the other quarters. Furthermore projected annual dividends indicate that portfolio provides so called lean FIRE level income (basic necessities) with minor margin for safety.
For the second quarter – and for remaining three quarters – I will probably increase my positions in Fortum, Kesko and Nordea Bank and probably in existing US healthcare/medical/pharma positions like Bristol-Myers Squibb, Pfizer and Medtronic. I might also initiate new position in Valmet but that remains to be seen. Next few months I’ll probably focus mainly in dividend reinvestment but all that naturally depends on market moves and valuations.
Recent Buy: Fortum Corporation
Fortum held their annual general meeting and therefore had their ex dividend date. Did tiny maintenance purchase of 25 shares for 11,14 EUR per share. Fortum as a whole is complicated company as they have many positive aspects, troubled past and problematic state owner. Yet for the long term it does hold strategic assets in very low carbon electricity generation. After this purchase I might have reached a full position of 700 shares but will be considering going for 1000 shares in small chunks.
See: https://www.fortum.fi/media/2024/03/fortum-oyjn-vuoden-2024-varsinaisen-yhtiokokouksen-paatokset
Recent Swap/Addition: 3M for Realty Income and Bristol-Myers Squibb
Today I sold my 50 3M shares for 94,36 USD per share. Main motivation for this was the fact that I want to skip the upcoming Solventum spin-off as I don’t want to have yet another tiny position and can do this now in tax effective way. Will I eventually initiate a position in 3M and/or Solventum? Perhaps. Depends on how both behave after the spin-off. For now I used these funds as planned before and added on existing positions with a purchase of 75 shares of Realty Income for 53,20 USD per share and 25 shares of Bristol-Myers Squibb for 54,38 USD per share. These purchases included also re-investing received dividends in addition to sales profits.
Additional information: https://investors.3m.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/1829/3m-board-of-directors-approves-spin-off-of-solventum
Recent Buy: Kesko Oyj (B) & Fortum Oyj
Maintenance purchase time and this time around I bought additional 10 Kesko shares for 17,94 EUR per share and 25 Fortum shares for 11,01 EUR per share. Nothing special here as Fortum seems to be reasonably valued. With Kesko I have doubts for short term and would like to see lower valuation to buy even remotely significant amounts. While waiting for better valuations – and spring dividend period to pass – I’ll just nibble these tiny chunks.
Recent Buy: Bristol-Myers Squibb Company
Today I initiated a new position in my Big Pharma basket as I bought initial 25 Bristol-Myers Squibb shares for 49.87 USD per share. This was mainly dividend re-investment from other positions with small injection of fresh capital. Quite basic addition in the basket of big pharma players. Stock price has dropped and subsequently yield has gone up. They have been very active on acquisitions and it remains to be seen if those moves truly materialise in coming years. My initial target position is modest 100 shares which I’ll hopefully build during 2024 but it depends on market moves.
Recent Buy: Kesko Oyj (B)
Tiny maintenance purchase of 10 shares of Kesko Oyj (B series) at 18,115 EUR per share. Nothing new here. Will just nibble very slowly as share price has increased quicker than I originally expected considering the overall state of economy. Might bite bigger chunks if we see a correction in share price. If not, I’ll just keep of nibbling and see where I end up.
Q4/2023 & FY2023 Results and FY2024 Strategy
Another year has passed and it was yet another with multiple global issues: Russia’s war in Ukraine, tensions with China, tensions in middle east, inflation and energy crisis just to name few. Considering all this markets have been surprisingly strong and in a way western economies have shown even some strength while dealing with these issues. There has been plenty of weakness but for example adaptation to energy crisis was way better than I personally expected. Sadly majority of these issues are likely main topics for 2024, perhaps even for 2025.
Q4 was pretty OK as main dividend account grew 5,67% and whole portfolio produced 2045,84 EUR pre-tax income during the quarter when converted to Euros at the time of writing (of which 181,91 EUR was interest paid for cash reserves, not much but significant indication of the impact from inflation and change in interest rates). Year over year changes were OK for FY2023. Very conservative allocation aimed for controlled dividend income resulted portfolio value increase of 1.78% and produced 10312,73 EUR pre-tax income when converted to Euros at the time of writing. This is minor drop in dividends compared to previous year, mainly a result of dividend cuts (some due to listed global issues, some just because of extra high payments during previous year) and due to exiting certain positions and therefore missing some payments completely (reinvested money will convert to dividends next year).
For FY2024 I have very mixed feelings. Aftermath of said global issues will likely take significant time and especially Finish economy is in very bad shape with the insanely high debt load and increased interest rates. Therefore my plan for 2024 is quite conservative: I’ll try to buy something every month but mainly with smaller maintenance purchases and dividend reinvestments. For now I have my my eye mainly on following companies: Fortum, Kesko and Bristol Myers Squibb. Perhaps also something in the REIT space depending on how the US interest rate cycle evolves.